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Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays Results
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 2, 2025 )
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
Bet: Detroit Tigers ML/-122 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Loser
The Tigers have had the Mariners' number recently, winning eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings after Monday’s victory. Detroit also has the upper hand on the mound in this matchup. In three career starts against Seattle, Skubal is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA. On the other hand, Luis Castillo is 0-4 with a 4.03 ERA in five career starts against the Tigers. Detroit has been the more impressive team, even in the early going. Their three losses came against the Dodgers, with one loss by a single run and another in extra innings. Meanwhile, the Mariners have been held to two runs or fewer in three of their last four games. Looking at the ability to slug shows a significant difference as the Tigers are eighth in MLB with a .456 team slugging percentage while the Mariners are down at 22nd with a .342 team slugging percentage so far. The ability to hit the ball where the defense ain’t is critical and these teams are on two completely different levels as Detroit is best in the majors with a .382 team batting average of balls in play while Seattle is down at 24th with a .234 team BABIP. All in all, go with the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner to help lead the Detroit Tigers to victory.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 1st, 2025 )
North Texas vs. UC Irvine
Bet: UC Irvine ML/+105 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The NIT semis sees North Texas vs. UC Irvine where the winner will face the winner of the Chattanooga vs. Loyola Chicago in the finals. North Texas ranks third in the nation in opponents’ ppg and has played good D in the three NIT games. However, they are not a big team and are led by their guards. On the other side of the coin, Leuchten is 7’1” and Tillis is a bruising forward and the duo combined for 40 points and 21 rebounds in the last game. Both teams matchup well on defense ranking in the top-40 defenses in the country. The disconnect between the two comes on offense where UC Irvine has a major advantage. The Mean Green put up just 68 ppg compared to the Anteaters who average 75.9 ppg. The Anteaters have already tied a program record with 31 wins (set under Turner in 2019 when they upset Kansas State in the first round of the NCAA Tournament) and set a new record with a win on Tuesday. UC Irvine also has four players averaging more than 12 points per game this season. Also, in their last two tournament games, North Texas has barely come away with wins having won both by just two points. In terms of the North Texas vs. UC Irvine prediction the Mean Green will struggle with the size of the Anteaters and while they will play good D and put up a fight UC Irvine will win and head to the NIT title game.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for March 31, 2025 )
Sacramento vs Indiana
Bet: Indiana Pacers -4.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
With 8 games remaining, the play-in tournament hopes of the Sacramento Kings are hanging by a thread — but only because the Phoenix Suns aren’t able to take advantage. Sacramento has lost 7 of 10 games, including 5 in a row on the road and unless they can turn things around they could very well end up outside the 10th spot. Chemistry issues have plagued this team ever since they acquired Zach LaVine; his pairing with DeMar DeRozan has just not worked out similarly to when they were teammates in Chicago. Sacramento has the 29th ranked defense over the past 10 games. With the return of Domantas Sabonis some of their issues will get fixed, but it will take a total team effort to turn things around. The Pacers don’t have issues like that. They rank 11th on defense in the past 10 games, which is a major reason why they have gone 7-3 SU during that stretch. They just lost by double-digits to OKC on the road, most teams do, so there’s really no shame in that. Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton have put up really solid numbers and this team looks destined to finish fourth in the East unless a major collapse happens. Indiana is 8-1 SU in 9 home games and has covered the spread in 10 of 11 games against Pacific Division opponents. Bennedict Mathurin is their only injury concern right now, but even if he isn’t able to go they have a deep bench which can compensate for his absence. Indiana won the first meeting fairly comfortably 122-95 back in late December. Sacramento has a lot of issues right now, plus we are expecting to see a highly motivated Tyrese Haliburton as he faces his old team. One of the biggest factors in this game will be Indiana's three-point shooting against Sacramento's perimeter defense. The Pacers rank among the league's best in shooting from beyond the arc, while the Kings rank at the bottom in defending the three. Additionally, the showdown between Sabonis and Myles Turner will be key in controlling the paint on both ends of the floor. Given Indiana’s home-court success and Sacramento’s ongoing road issues, the Pacers have a key edge. Give us the Pacers to cover.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for March 30, 2025 )
Michigan State Spartans vs Auburn Tigers
Bet: Auburn Tigers-4.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
We head to the South regional on Sunday for a Michigan State Spartans vs Auburn Tigers prediction, and this should be a fantastic Elite Eight clash on Sunday night. We are going to lay the points with Auburn in this game. They’ve navigated the second-toughest schedule in the country this year, logging a 31-5 SU record in the process. The Tigers have won 27 of those 31 games by 5+ points, while posting an average margin of victory of +14.3 points. Michigan State survived close games all year, and they have done so by being a patient but efficient offensive team, and a team that relies on an elite defense. The major weakness of this Michigan State team, however, is that they do not make enough 3-pointers. That is going to be a problem against an Auburn team who is elite at defending inside the paint. If you can’t make 3s against Auburn to stretch out their defense, it is hard to find buckets. Michigan State’s three-point woes will catch up with against Auburn, as they’re just 318th in the nation at 31.1%. This will be the spot, as Auburn’s defense is the seventh-best defensive three-point team, limiting their opposition to just 29.6%. The Tigers also take care of the ball on the offensive side, ranking seventh in turnover percentage (13.2%). The Spartans might keep things close for a while, but in the end, their inability to make enough 3s, coupled with the interior defense of the Tigers, will be enough to see Auburn winning and getting the cover. Give us the Tigers to punch their ticket.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for March 29, 2025 )
Texas Tech vs. Florida
Alabama vs. Duke
Bet: 2 Leg Parlay on Florida ML -295 and Duke ML -285/odds -125 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Winner
Texas Tech demonstrated defensive lapses against Arkansas in their last game as the Razorbacks jumped out to a quick lead and shot 42% from the field and 40% from behind the arc. It truly was fortuitous that the Red Raiders survived to move on to this round. In contrast, Florida has been the complete package throughout this tournament and appears to be playing their best basketball. The edge in this game will go to the Gator’s ability to contest their opponent’s shots as they have allowed just an average of 71.66 points per game in the tournament. They won’t have the same late-game lapses for the Red Raiders to take advantage like Arkansas. Additionally, Florida holds the #2 ranked offensive efficiency according to KenPom which makes them one of the most balanced teams in the field. The fact that Florida is 27-10 ATS on the season makes this decision easier. This is especially true as Florida holds an 8.5 margin over Tech in the Net Rating on KenPom.
Any believer in the Law of Averages has to side with Duke in this game, as there will surely be a regression in the outside shooting from Alabama. The Tide were on fire last game, they made 25 threes while shooting 49% from deep, this performance is historic, and will not be repeated, especially considering the defense they are facing. BYU was ranked 82nd in defensive efficiency, they are not strong at defending the outside shot, but now the Tide are facing a different type of defensive threat. Duke is 5th in the nation in defensive efficiency, they will not allow Bama to run up and down the floor shooting open threes as they did last game. The Blue Devils have length and athleticism all over the floor and will be able to contest deep shots and bring Bama's three point efficiency down. Bama is not stellar on defense either, and do not have a defensive matchup for Flagg, as he is faster than Nelson and bigger than all of their guards. Duke's talent will rise to the top.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for March 28, 2025 )
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
Bet: Kentucky +4.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
This will be the third meeting between these two teams and we expect this will be the best matchup of the season. Kentucky and Tennessee have had very successful seasons but Kentucky has had Tennessee's number this season. Points have been hard to come by for the Volunteers and they have not been able to keep Kentucky off the three-point line. Lamont Butler is back in the lineup for the Wildcats, and they are just a different team with him. Butler vs Zeigler will be a great point guard matchup but this game will be about the role players. Kentucky has great depth and they have done a great job playing as a team and utilizing their weapons. It is very tough to beat a team three times in one season but the Wildcats are the better team in this matchup. Tennessee needs Chaz Lanier and Zakai Zeigler to have big games in order to beat the top teams and they just don't have enough scoring weapons. Take the points and the Wildcats here while not being afraid to sprinkle on the moneyline.
Ole Miss vs. Michigan State
Bet: Ole Miss +4/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
On Friday night in Atlanta, head coach Chris Beard and his Ole Miss Rebels get set to take on head coach Tom Izzo and his Michigan State Spartans in the South Region for what should be a fantastic game and an all around intriguing Sweet 16 slate. Beard has done a remarkable job in his second season at Ole Miss, taking a team that missed the tournament last year to now knocking on the door of an Elite 8 appearance. The Rebels entered the tournament as a #6 seed and were just 1 of the 14 teams from the SEC to earn their way to the Big Dance — including 7 teams that advanced to the Sweet 16. Playing in the most competitive conference certainly paid off for the Rebels come tournament time, holding leads as large as 22 points against North Carolina in the round of 64 and 26 points against Iowa State in the round of 32. The journey to the Sweet 16 wasn’t quite as smooth for Izzo and the Spartys however. Michigan State took care of business with a 25-point win over Bryant in the first round but got tested in the round of 32 and trailed New Mexico for the entire first half before some second-half adjustments led to an 8-point win. The SEC will continue their strong play here with two similarly constructed teams. Both of these programs go deep into their bench and have a balanced scoring approach, but there are differences that will favor the Rebels in this one. First, the best overall scorer and shooter in this game plays for Ole Miss, Sean Pedulla has made 83 threes on the year, which is 29 more threes than any player on the Spartans. He is the top scorer in this game at 15.2 PPG, and is an experienced senior guard who can be trusted late, he buried a game winning three at the buzzer in the SEC Tournament against Arkansas. On top of this, the Rebels are all juniors and seniors at the top of their lineup, while Coach Izzo will have to trust several freshman including Richardson and Fears in this game. Michigan State has been carried by their defense, this strategy worked against the bottom Big Ten schools, but Ole Miss has six scorers in double figures, they are difficult to slow down. The experience of the Rebels along with their ability to force turnovers while taking care of the ball on offense will be enough to win this game. We are taking the points with the veteran team from the stronger conference.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Plays released for March 27, 2025 )
BYU vs. Alabama
Bet: Alabama -4.5/-115 ( sportsbook: DraftKings ) Winner
The first game of the Sweet 16 takes us to the East Region in New Jersey for a BYU Cougars vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction. The Crimson Tide are part of the SEC’s steamrolling of the tournament, and they got here with wins over Robert Morris and St. Mary’s. St. Mary’s is a slow, defensive-minded team, but the Tide will have to change gears completely when planning for BYU. The Cougars dispatched VCU in the opening round before outgunning Wisconsin in round 2 via a 91-89 decision. These 2 teams are probably going to blow out the lights on the scoreboard. Our BYU vs Alabama prediction, however, is for the Tide to ultimately win and cover. Alabama plays at the fastest tempo in the country. Head coach Nate Oates’ method of basketball is straightforward: do something fast, and operate in volume. The Tide will shoot 3s or layups and little else. They also pressure the ball defensively and get a lot of transition looks. BYU shares some similarities. The Cougars do not play as fast, but they are one of the most prolific 3-point shooting teams in the nation. You know the modern basketball axiom: 3 points are worth more than 2 points, and both teams like to prove it true. The difference in this game will come down to the ability to defend the 3-point shot. Alabama will play fast and look to knock down open threes in transition. BYU is one of the more prolific 3-point shooting teams in the country and is shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc in the tournament, averaging 9.5 made threes per game. The Tide, however, have done a great job defending the 3-point shot thus far. They are holding the opposition to 23 percent shooting from beyond the arc and just six 3-point field goals per game. The Cougars are giving up 13.5 threes per game in the tournament and allowing them to shoot 37 percent. We`ll take our chances with the more experienced Crimson Tide to dominate the perimeter both offensively and defensively and cover the spread.
Maryland vs. Florida
Bet: Florida -6/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Gators are explosive offensively, and the test UConn gave them on Sunday should keep them on their toes ahead of their matchup with the Terps. Florida has a top-notch, diverse rotation brimming with Final Four potential. Maryland needed a buzzer-beater to escape 11-seed Colorado State. The Terps aren't deep or reliable enough to keep the score close, especially against the Gators' elite three-point defense (10th in opponent 3PT%). Without those long-range baskets, Maryland will be in big trouble, as buckets at the rim will be tough to come by (UF is 9th in average opponent near-proximity shooting percentage). Give us the Gators to cover and march on to the Elite 8.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Tech
Bet: Arkansas Razorbacks +5.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The stage is set in San Francisco for an intense Sweet 16 matchup between the Arkansas Razorbacks and Texas Tech Red Raiders. Arkansas enters this game as a 5.5 point underdog, a familiar spot for it in this tournament. The Razorbacks have embraced the underdog role, ousting both Kansas and St. John’s to get here. Their victory over Kansas was particularly impressive, as they managed a 7-point win despite shooting just 25% from beyond the arc. Against St. John’s they capitalized on the Red Storm’s cold shooting night, needing only 75 points on 43% shooting to advance. Questions remain about how legitimate St. John’s was this season given the Big East’s overall struggles, but Arkansas is proving it belongs. All eyes are on head coach John Calipari, who finds himself an underdog for the third straight NCAA Tournament game — a first in his storied career. Historically, he has thrived in these spots with an 8-3-1 record against the spread as an underdog. Texas Tech, a #3 seed, has taken care of business thus far. The Red Raiders handled UNCW with ease before pulling away from a scrappy Drake team in the second round. Their shooting drastically improved from the first round, hitting 53.8% against Drake en route to a 77-64 victory. While the Red Raiders are a dangerous team, they have struggled in neutral-site games — sitting at 1-6 ATS in such settings. With Calipari’s proven track record as an underdog and Arkansas riding a wave of momentum, the Razorbacks are a strong play in what should hopefully be one of the best games of the tournament thus far.
